kyronstavic comments

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,070 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,717 See in context

The number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo is 156, two down from Friday,

Unfortunately, it looks like those two people had died, if I'm reading the figures and graphs correctly.

Still, there looks to be a slow downward trend in the number of hospitalised patients, and the number or people with serious symptoms seems to be levelling off.

-1 ( +3 / -4 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,070 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,717 See in context

I hear and read many things. I’ve pointed out a few times that there is pandemic of posters on here who know unnamed doctors and other medical professionals who conveniently share their views. I tend to be sceptical of anecdotes with unnamed sources. I was also told this pandemic burned itself out months ago on this site. 

All a bit questionable.

You don't have to believe me, but I stand by what I said. But if you're going to be consistent, at least it's worth thinking twice taking the posts from a certain individual who attempts to assume the position of an expert on viruses and pandemics, yet shies away from presenting any evidence of this when challenged, and instead resorts to dismissing anyone with a different opinion as a crank or loon, no matter how internationally recognised those people may be (I'm referring to actual experts, not me of course).

-4 ( +6 / -10 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,070 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,717 See in context

ZorotoToday  05:10 pm JST

the same thing happened in Hokkaido in December 

Yes, same thing happening in Tokyo -- hiding the numbers.

A friend of mine got infected last week in Hokkaido. He had symptoms but they refused to test him. He had to order an online antigen test kit for 3000 yen, and after that came back positive, they finally agreed to a PCR test, which also came back positive.

So they are very clearly restricting testing in Hokkaido, even for symptomatic cases. There is no doubt this is going on in Tokyo and elsewhere also.

What kind of symptoms did your friend have? Something similar to a light cold, or more serious? And did they develop any further?

-9 ( +3 / -12 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,070 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,717 See in context

virusrexToday  05:07 pm JST

I was talking with my doctor this afternoon. He was cautious, but hinted in his roundabout way that the SoE is unnecessary and seemed to be doing more overall harm than good. That included mental health and the reduced ability to treat people with other illnesses like cancer etc in public hospitals. He agreed with me that the media has been irresponsible in its reporting of this situation. He said that in his opinion, the PCR tests were mainly reliable in that Japan was using a consistent count of cycles to get the test results, but wasn't sure how many cycles Japan was using...

I am sorry but your doctor seems terribly under-qualified to have a significant opinion about the situation (that is if you even understood it properly, maybe his "roundabout way" was actually expressing something very different that you misconstructed). What is clear is that if he keeps thinking the number cycles of the qRT-PCR are in any way signicant for Japan he has not the knowledge necessary to make an informed opinion.

Well, given that you weren't there, how would you know? My wife, a native Japanese speaker, was there and she understood it in the same way, and understood what he was saying without saying it directly. What makes you an expert on what my doctor does or does not know? Since you always back away from stating your qualifications and alleged expertise, I'll take my qualified doctor's opinion over yours any day.

-10 ( +7 / -17 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,070 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,717 See in context

I think this downward trend is genuine; the same thing happened in Hokkaido in December without any SoE issued. We're dealing with bigger numbers because of Tokyo's higher population, but the curve looks similar.

I was talking with my doctor this afternoon. He was cautious, but hinted in his roundabout way that the SoE is unnecessary and seemed to be doing more overall harm than good. That included mental health and the reduced ability to treat people with other illnesses like cancer etc in public hospitals. He agreed with me that the media has been irresponsible in its reporting of this situation. He said that in his opinion, the PCR tests were mainly reliable in that Japan was using a consistent count of cycles to get the test results, but wasn't sure how many cycles Japan was using...

The main thing that worried him was the stress that doctors and nurses are under, partly because they can't treat people who require other types care, and something else I didn't clearly catch, but I think it was how the government is going to manage vaccinating medical staff once the vaccines became available, especially in terms of keeping the vaccines at the right temperature. He said that there are lots of doctors (he didn't mention nurses, but the same probably goes for them) suffering depression due to isolating themselves from family and the long hours.

-10 ( +7 / -17 )

Posted in: Police officer's loaded gun, handcuffs found in Osaka convenience store See in context

It might have something to do with its location, which is close to Osaka’s U.S. consulate, and thus the increased security requirements for the neighborhood. More police officers in the area means more police officers stopping by to use the toilet than at other convenience stores, and so more chances that one of them might be forgetful. The heightened security may also mean more officers in cars than on foot, 

There's a koban just down the road from there, actually. But maybe time was not on his side. When you gotta go, you gotta go.

6 ( +6 / -0 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,471 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 5,652 See in context

From yesterday:

The Tokyo metropolitan government on Wednesday reported 1,274 new cases of the coronavirus, up 34 from Tuesday. The tally brought Tokyo's cumulative total to 89,188. The number (643 men and 631 women) is the result of 2,670 tests conducted on Jan 17.

Today:

The Tokyo metropolitan government on Thursday reported 1,471 new cases of the coronavirus, up 197 from Wednesday, with the total for January reaching 30,482. ...The number (785 men and 686 women) is the result of 14,870 tests conducted on Jan 18.

So an extra 12,200 tests in Tokyo, with 197 new cases.

Looking at the graphs here, https://toyokeizai.net/sp/visual/tko/covid19/en.html, looks like cases are beginning to level off and we should see a downturn in the next few days.

Something interesting to note is from the graphs for Hokkaido in the linked page. Back in early November the case numbers were rising, even though most people are supposedly wearing masks. The rise came with the onset of winter when respiratory viruses tend to enter the fray, and resulting deaths peaked mid-December, and since the beginning of this year have been average 4-6 per day. Hokkaido numbers naturally declined without any SoE, and while there has been a small uptick in positive test results, it's levelling off again.

-3 ( +5 / -8 )

Posted in: A new COVID-19 challenge: Mutations rise along with cases See in context

Aly RustomToday  08:34 am JST

A couple of days ago, I was listening to Andrew Cuomo, Governor of New York State ,and he said something I thought was very interesting:

Interesting's right. Isn't he the same Andrew Cuomo who ordered the sending of people infected with the coronavirus into nursing homes with all those elderly people, triggering thousands of deaths?

Wouldn't be paying much attention to what he says.

4 ( +5 / -1 )

Posted in: Kono denies reports of mass vaccine roll-out for general public in May See in context

kohakuebisuToday  04:52 pm JST

I'm no fan of Kono but is this him being stitched up?

Dealing with the pandemic is far far more important than internecine battles between factions in the LDP.

You're obviously not very familiar with the LDP ;-)

6 ( +7 / -1 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,274 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 5,521 See in context

[email protected]  04:33 pm JST

this would suggest that the infection numbers released each day might not be as phoney as we think.

But i dont think of it as phoney at all.

I look at it as best available data.

You might be right. I should probably clarify this as "many people on this forum think."

I'm in two minds about why the testing numbers are low. The obvious reason would be the Olympics, but it's also possible that the government doesn't want to waste free tests on asymptomatic people and only test those with symptoms. I don't think that's necessarily a bad idea, but the J govt has never been one to waste an opportunity to squander enormous amounts of money. The cynic in me says that whoever is supplying the test kits is not an LDP donor, so there's no incentive to reward them.

6 ( +9 / -3 )

Posted in: Trump pardons former top strategist Bannon See in context

Good.

-14 ( +4 / -18 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,274 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 5,521 See in context

Infected with severe symptoms still going up, probably deaths too

This will happen as symptoms progress in vulnerable people who developed the illness, as these curves follow the infections curve. If the numbers of people with severe symptoms level off and start falling in the next week or two, this would suggest that the infection numbers released each day might not be as phoney as we think.

-6 ( +3 / -9 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,240 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 5,321 See in context

Thanks for that site, noriahojanen. Takes a bit longer to grasp than Toyo Keizai's because no English, but does have some info like bed occupancy that Toyo lacks.

-1 ( +0 / -1 )

Posted in: The broadcaster should consider seriously what it can do to reduce the financial burden on households amid the COVID-19 pandemic. See in context

I might pay when the news broadcasts stop treating viewers like 2-year-olds. So, never.

5 ( +5 / -0 )

Posted in: 3 more COVID-19 cases linked to Australian Open arrivals See in context

Maybe rename it the Grand Sham?

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: The governments of many countries, including Japan, have said they will not make a coronavirus vaccine mandatory, but legal experts believe companies could order staff to get a vaccine, unless they have a health exemption. What's your stance on this? See in context

As I posted earlier on, I’m honestly interested in getting the opinions of others who have a knowledge of law in this area.

I agree with you there. In lieu of not having our own legal expert here on JT, I did a quick check of some articles from a few different countries written by lawyers or with comments from lawyers. Their opinions differed a bit by country, depending on local laws. Here they are for anyone interested:

UK: https://www.peoplemanagement.co.uk/experts/legal/can-employers-force-staff-to-have-the-covid-vaccine

US: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/can-your-employer-force-you-to-get-vaccinated

Australia: https://www.colemangreig.com.au/BlogPost-1615-can-employers-mandate-the-covid-19-vaccine.aspx

Canada: https://www.canadianlawyermag.com/practice-areas/labour-and-employment/can-employers-require-employees-to-take-a-covid-vaccine/336341

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: The governments of many countries, including Japan, have said they will not make a coronavirus vaccine mandatory, but legal experts believe companies could order staff to get a vaccine, unless they have a health exemption. What's your stance on this? See in context

You do seem to have libertarian sympathies, so shouldn’t companies have the right to decide who they want to get rid of? Would you approve of the heavy hand of the law or the government intervening in the decisions of private business if it reaches the stage of companies mandating vaccinations?

That's a good question, Jimizo. From first principles, since a corporation is not a natural person and only a legal construct, a natural person trumps a corporation when it comes to situations like this because forcing someone to take a medication etc against their will would violate the non-aggression principle. Based on that, if the government does intervene, it should on the side of the individual and not the corporation when it comes to mandatory vaccination by a corporation.

And with every rule comes exceptions, namely when people are involved directly in healthcare as I mentioned above. But people enter fields like healthcare knowing what they're signing up for, so it's informed consent.

But forcing someone, say, working in a shop or an office to take the vaccine on threat of losing their job is wrong, I think. If coworkers are concerned about catching the virus, they're welcome to get the jab and should be fine, if the vaccines are as safe and effective as we're told. If worker A is unable to get vaccinated for some health reason and worker B refuses to get the jab, A doesn't have the right to infringe on B's bodily integrity and force B to get it on pain of B losing their job. In such a case, they might be able to work out some kind of compromise; otherwise, A would have to look for other employment.

You could make a similar argument for the travel industry.

Otherwise, allowing non-healthcare companies to mandate vaccination sets a precedent too dangerous to allow.

2 ( +4 / -2 )

Posted in: As Diet opens, Suga pledges to get pandemic under control, hold Olympics See in context

Thomas GoodtimeToday  05:39 pm JST

Move the Olympics to 2024? No way does Japan deserve that luxury. Why should France miss out because of Japan's ineptitude and rampant self importance.

Dunno, Macron has covered himself in a layer of pungent...cheese during his handling of the pandemic. The French could do with an extra four years to sort themselves out. Macron hasn't;t been any more effective than Suga, just looking more suave while he fails.

-3 ( +2 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,204 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,925 See in context

ZorotoToday  05:17 pm JST

This is why you need to look at the graphs.

Thanks for your advice, but I will stick with the graphs.

Looks like you confirmed my point. Or you meant to say numbers instead of graphs. If it's just the numbers, you're missing the bigger picture.

-3 ( +2 / -5 )

Posted in: Australia unlikely to fully reopen borders in 2021 See in context

Okay, but you didn’t ask who the government is accountable to.

Shouldn't that be obvious?

I wouldn't have any problem with the tennis players and officials entering if actual residents were allowed home. If they were, everyone wins.

2 ( +3 / -1 )

Posted in: 'No special treatment' - Australia rebuffs tennis stars' quarantine complaints See in context

StarbucksToday  06:12 pm JST

@ kryonstavic 

I wouldn't say NSW has done any better a job what with the Ruby Princess and the current situation with an American air crew not being subject to the same restrictions as everyone else.

The relatives of 800-odd people who died in Victoria might disagree with you.

-5 ( +1 / -6 )

Posted in: 'No special treatment' - Australia rebuffs tennis stars' quarantine complaints See in context

Big Yen, if that were the case, why was it that Victoria had 800-odd out of the 900-odd deaths, whereas the death toll in the other states has been tiny? Your defence of Andrews doesn't support the facts. The other states did not lock down even close to the extent Victoria did, and again, had far better results. Andrews has continuously lied and obfuscated about the quarantine debacle that's resulted in senior Victorian public servants resigning, plus the health minister herself, claiming that Andrews basically threw her under the bus to save his own skin. You can't lay the blame with the Federal Government when it's only Victoria that's had such poor results.

I wouldn't have a problem with the tennis players and officials coming in if he allowed Victorians to come home.The double standards are disgraceful, but to be expected from Andrews.

-3 ( +2 / -5 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,204 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,925 See in context

ZorotoToday  04:47 pm JST

Tokyo reports 1,204 new coronavirus cases

It's the 2nd highest Monday count.

This week 1204 out of 8,206 tests

Last week 1211 out of 9,628 tests

So I would not proclaim that the cases are decreasing yet.

This is why you need to look at the graphs. You can see trends on the days between and beforehand, and follow the 7-day moving average to get a clearer picture of what's going on. Just taking those numbers in isolation could mean you completely miss a sharp dip or spike during the intervening days.

-9 ( +5 / -14 )

Posted in: Australia unlikely to fully reopen borders in 2021 See in context

P. SmithToday  04:42 pm JST

COVID-19 is a special disease, and extra-super-dangerous when it suits the interests of some to be so. Just when you think it's going away, back it comes!

Do you have any further theories about this conspiracy?

Can you give any logical reason why Australia should be letting in all these tennis players and officials from COVID hotspots like the US and Europe while preventing Australians who are stuck interstate, where there are hardly any active cases, at their own expense are not allowed to go home? There's; no consistency here. If this virus is so dangerous, why have the borders been opened for the tennis participants? Someone's doing alright out of this, but it's not Victorians needing to get home but prevented from doing so by their own government.

-3 ( +5 / -8 )

Posted in: Australia unlikely to fully reopen borders in 2021 See in context

AttilathehungryToday  04:13 pm JST

I thought the point of vaccination was to a/ prevent getting the disease, and b/ prevent spreading the disease. Is this not the case? I have never heard of people who have been vaccinated still being contageous. Nor people who have already had and survived a disease.

COVID-19 is a special disease, and extra-super-dangerous when it suits the interests of some to be so. Just when you think it's going away, back it comes!

-6 ( +5 / -11 )

Posted in: Tokyo reports 1,204 new coronavirus cases; nationwide tally 4,925 See in context

Maybe, just maybe fewer tests are being done because fewer people are presenting with symptoms...

See https://toyokeizai.net/sp/visual/tko/covid19/en.html for more context behind the numbers, for the whole country and not just Tokyo.

-10 ( +9 / -19 )

Posted in: Drinkable cheesecake See in context

One of the best things about solid cheesecake is the texture. Drinking it just doesn't do cheesecake enough justice.

2 ( +2 / -0 )

Posted in: 'No special treatment' - Australia rebuffs tennis stars' quarantine complaints See in context

Tokyo-EngrToday  12:47 pm JST

Wow

Victoria Premier Daniel Andrews smashed back that request, saying authorities would not bend strict health rules any further for the players.

"There's no special treatment here. Because the virus doesn't treat you specially, so neither do we," he said.

I absolutely cannot come up with a comment or response better than that. Whether one is for or against lockdowns I have to commend Premier Andrews for showing the leadership and courage to make such an unwavering and unapologetic (and correct) statement.

Nothing is vague about what he said.

Andrews' leadership is highly suspect. As premier of Victoria he spent a sizeable chunk of last year passing off the blame to others for the quarantine debacle, and has now allowed athletes and officials in from case hotspots overseas while preventing Victorians from getting back to their own homes from interstate. He's directly contracted himself in that quote by giving special treatment to the tennis people.

-3 ( +3 / -6 )

Posted in: Do you think climate change could lead to a greater crisis for humanity than COVID-19 or any other pandemic that might occur in the future? See in context

Toasted HereticToday  11:35 am JST

The market, eh

And here was me thinking that conservatives wanted to conserve things, like, you know, the planet. Life, the future.

Turns out they're just in it for the money. Who'd a thunk it?

Yep, the market. A far more effective and efficient way to get resources where they should go. Far better than the clunky mechanism of central government planning. Sure, it's not perfect, but no system is. There's room for regulation, but there's also a balance needed.

Most conservatives do want to protect the environment but at the same time maintain a good standard of living without central governments dictating how to behave and strangling them out of existence. You are aware of the enormous amounts of environmental damage that socialist governments have done, right? Just look at the USSR, Eastern Europe during the Cold War, and China under the CCP.

-2 ( +9 / -11 )

Posted in: The governments of many countries, including Japan, have said they will not make a coronavirus vaccine mandatory, but legal experts believe companies could order staff to get a vaccine, unless they have a health exemption. What's your stance on this? See in context

Also, anybody might not be part of the "vast majority", and the vaccine will reduce the risks of developing serious complications and even death. The vast majority of people on their 40s do not have cardiac or pulmonary problems but employers still demand a full periodical health check including chest X-rays (that do include a risk) to reduce the chances of having an unrecognized treatable problem.

False equivalency, but that's par for the course.

These tests are just a check, and don't involve putting anything into the body more invasive than a barium drink. And the risk from chest x-rays is miniscule. But forcing someone to take a vaccine for a virus that is not going to affect the vast majority is a step too far. I'm fine with people getting vaccinated voluntarily with informed consent, but not under compulsion.

2 ( +9 / -7 )

Articles, Offers & Useful Resources

A mix of what's trending on our other sites


©2021 GPlusMedia Inc.